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Iran Is Testing China’s Economic Credibility – OpEd

8 0
12.09.2026

The author reads a Sept. 10 Reuters story—Iran routing an estimated $2–2.5 billion of China trade through an oil-linked special vehicle outside normal banks—as a test of whether Beijing can keep economic room when U.S. sanctions squeeze a partner, not only how much Iranian crude China buys.

Cited data: Chinese imports of Iranian oil fell from about 1.4 million b/d in 2025 to ~534,000 b/d in August. Oil can be swapped for Russian or Gulf barrels; what is harder to replace, the piece argues, is China’s claim that Belt and Road, yuan use, and Global South ties offer an alternative to U.S.-centered finance.

Beijing has told firms not to obey some U.S. lists and has adapted channels, but banks and exporters still fear dollar, tech, and market cutoff. Gulf states want both powers. The essay’s conclusion: if workarounds hold, multipolar commerce looks more real; if they fold under pressure, the bigger loss for China is credibility, not barrels.

Washington’s pressure campaign is aimed at Tehran, but its broader significance lies in whether Beijing can preserve meaningful economic autonomy when U.S. sanctions raise the cost of doing so.

On September 10, Reuters reported that Iran had built a barter-like mechanism to keep trade with China moving outside conventional banking channels, routing an estimated $2 billion to $2.5 billion through a special-purpose vehicle tied to oil revenues. The arrangement is a reminder that the struggle over Iran is no longer only about how much crude Tehran can sell. It is also becoming a test of how much economic space China can preserve when Washington uses sanctions, financial access and commercial pressure to isolate one of Beijing’s partners.

The Trump administration’s pressure campaign now reaches well beyond Iranian oil. Washington has targeted shipping, financial networks, front companies and entities in China and other jurisdictions linked to Iranian trade. Iran is the immediate target, but China has become a measure of how far American economic coercion can reach.

At first glance, the dispute appears to be about Iranian oil. China has long been Iran’s most important crude buyer, and U.S. pressure has sharply reduced Tehran’s ability to supply Chinese refiners. Iranian crude imports into China........

© Eurasia Review