Climate Scare Scenario Setbacks

“Forget climate change. Democrats need to talk about other issues.” This marks the end of an era. Admits American voters largely do not see climate as a top priority;

Jack Dini ——Bio and Archives--May 14, 2026

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We have been fed a never-ending diet of apocalyptic climate scares for years about killer heatwaves, biblical floods, and deadly droughts devastating hurricanes, to name just a few. (1)

All these scares have one thing in common; they are based on emissions scenarios which have long been regarded by independent experts as implausibly high. The scenario in question in known as RCP8.5.

RCPs are a set of greenhouse gas concentration trajectories used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) for climate modelling and projections. They describe different possible future paths for atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations and the resulting radiative forcing by the year 2100. (1)

Activist climate scientists, journalists and net zero obsessed politicians are in shock following an official admission from the IPCC that this set of key assumptions promoting a climate crisis since 2011 are implausible. The notorious set of always-improbable pathway assumptions which fed into computer models trying to measure an unmeasurable climate are no more. Since around 2011, these ‘business as usual’ assumptions have produced outlandish claims of future climate catastrophes which have been lapped up by lap dog journalists and politicians. Roger Pielke Jr. called this ‘the most significant development in climate research in decades.’ (2)

The new framework has eliminated the most extreme scenarios that have dominated climate research over much of the past........

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