The key dangers that threaten Trump’s peace terms with Iran

June 15, 2026 — 7:50pm

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London: One of the chief failures in Donald Trump’s peace deal with Iran is the US president’s inability to achieve a goal he spoke about when he began the war on February 28.

“I say tonight that the hour of your freedom is at hand,” Trump told the Iranian people that night. “When we are finished, take over your government. It will be yours to take. This will be probably your only chance for generations.”

Trump clearly wanted regime change. He did not get it. He has settled for an outcome that leaves the Iranian regime in place to repress its people and threaten the region.

There will be other dangers in the peace terms, but all are linked to this core weakness. Trump said he went to war because Iran would not negotiate. Now he claims peace based on a negotiation with a regime he cannot defeat or control. It is a perilous peace.

The ceasefire is welcome despite the risks, of course. But there are at least five dangers to a lasting deal.

‘Let the oil flow’: Trump says Iran, US have reached peace deal

The first is the outcome in the Strait of Hormuz, where Trump says oil will flow freely. The Iranian threat to shipping is supposed to end on Friday when a peace agreement is signed in Switzerland.........

© Brisbane Times