Canadian voters have delivered a projected victory to the Liberal Party, led by former central banker Mark Carney, in a dramatic federal election shaped as much by domestic issues as by an increasingly hostile relationship with the United States under President Donald Trump. According to projections from the CBC Decision Desk and CTV News, the Liberals are on course to form their fourth consecutive government, though short of a clear majority.

The outcome marks a significant political comeback for a party that had appeared directionless after the resignation of longtime Prime Minister Justin Trudeau in January. Carney, a veteran of both the Bank of Canada and the Bank of England, assumed party leadership at a time when the Liberals were mired in internal divisions and had seen their popularity crater. Yet the emergence of a trade conflict with the United States and inflammatory rhetoric from President Trump served as a political gift to the new Liberal leader, providing him with a clear foreign adversary and an urgent national narrative around sovereignty and economic self-defense.

Throughout the election campaign, Carney framed the stakes as nothing less than a battle for Canada’s independence. The tipping point came in early March, when Trump slapped a sweeping 25% tariff on Canadian goods, citing what he called “chronic trade imbalances and cross-border drug trafficking.” The move was widely viewed in Canada as both economically damaging and diplomatically hostile. In response, Ottawa retaliated with tariffs on US-made products, signaling a rapid deterioration in bilateral relations.

More controversial, however, were Trump’s repeated........

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