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President Aliyev’s post-war calculus and remaking of South Caucasus

14 4
07.01.2026

2025 can be considered a new chapter in the history of Azerbaijan, a year alive with profits and achievements. The dividends of the profound and decisive policies pursued by the Azerbaijani government extend beyond the country, shaping the entire South Caucasus.

More precisely, the roars of weapons that had echoed since the first days of independence over 30 years ago finally fell silent in 2025. Neither the Azerbaijani nor the Armenian side suffered any losses throughout the year. For a country that has lived in a state of war since independence, and even before, that reality is unprecedented. This marks a new stage in the history of both countries. As President Ilham Aliyev noted in an interview with local media: “…. the Armenia-Azerbaijan war ended from a political point of view, and we have been living in peace for several months now.”

Surely, this is the most important achievement, as war had disrupted all regional development. Both sides spent billions of dollars on arms that could have been allocated to social projects, infrastructure, and more. The Garabagh conflict, which intermittently lasted for more than 30 years, claimed thousands of lives. Despite all difficulties, Azerbaijan pursued a decisive policy regarding its territorial integrity and ultimately achieved its goals through victory in the 44-day war and the subsequent anti-terrorist operation in 2023. Today,........

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