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Swasti Rao

Swasti Rao

Indian Express

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America’s new energy frontier runs through baroque Balkans. New Delhi must know why

IMEC projects plugging into the 3SI is a matter of when, not if. This makes US engagement in the Western Balkans significant for New Delhi.

latest 10

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Swasti Rao

UAE’s ability to pursue its interests is unmatched

UAE has deep ties with US even as its financial centres help Russia evade sanctions, and it partners with Turkey despite Ankara’s tilt toward Saudi...

01.05.2026 20

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Swasti Rao

Hormuz crisis won’t replace the dollar with yuan. De-dollarisation is a myth

Recent data does not support any dramatic shift away from the dollar. As per IMF, the share of international transactions conducted in dollars has...

24.04.2026 30

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Swasti Rao

What can be expected from the ongoing talks in Islamabad? Odds of resolution remain slim

The initial ceasefire functioned less as a resolution and more as a pause—an opportunity for both sides to recalibrate, while claiming victory.

10.04.2026 10

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Swasti Rao

This is how Strait of Hormuz shock is forcing a global trade reset

The current Iran war has laid bare a fundamental reality: 20 per cent of global energy trade cannot afford to rely on a single artery, no matter how...

03.04.2026 20

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Swasti Rao

Why Bagher Ghalibaf and Abbas Araghchi are the most crucial negotiators in Iran war

For New Delhi, perhaps an interesting dimension of Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf’s current role is his reported involvement in backchannel activities...

27.03.2026 50

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Swasti Rao

Iran and Israel weren’t always enemies. In fact, they were allies

Israel even helped source American defence equipment for Iran, who learnt from Tel Aviv about drones against Soviet air defences in Syria.

20.03.2026 40

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Swasti Rao

9.2% jump in arms transfer shows this is era of war—SIPRI reveals the temper we live in

The volume of major arms transfers has risen by 9.2% compared to 2016-2020. The increase is driven overwhelmingly by Europe’s rearming, followed by...

13.03.2026 20

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Swasti Rao

From weapon supplier to spectator—India’s foothold in the Caucasus region is shrinking

Today, New Delhi lacks a practical Plan B to consolidate the presence, credibility and stakes it had so carefully built in the Caucasus.

13.02.2026 80

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Swasti Rao

Japan’s snap election and what it means for India

If Sanae Takaichi truly carries forward Shinzo Abe’s legacy, Japan may finally enter an era of political stability, strategic clarity and meaningful...

09.02.2026 10

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Swasti Rao

India’s ‘mother of all deals’ with Europe comes with a troublesome cousin—Turkey

Established in 1968, the EU Customs Union is a foundational pillar of European economic integration. With Turkey in the mix, India’s biggest deal...

30.01.2026 20

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Swasti Rao

Trump’s fight for Greenland has shaken his most committed European allies—the Far-Right

India spent too long dissecting Trump and Greenland. We have other crises to worry about.

23.01.2026 40

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Swasti Rao

Regime change in Iran will be bad for India. The alternative will be worse

New Delhi has adopted a careful and calibrated posture toward complex conflicts in the Middle East. It offers little comfort.

16.01.2026 20

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Swasti Rao

Trump is not merely controlling the backyard. He is disrupting networks that lie beneath

Simplifying Trump-era actions as incoherent misses their strategic logic.

09.01.2026 20

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Swasti Rao

Ishaq Dar’s comments hold a lesson for India. New Delhi must focus on strategic aims

India did achieve its military objectives, but whether it met its broader strategic aims remains debatable. These aims could be framed around 3Ds:...

30.12.2025 30

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Swasti Rao

2025 was good for Turkey’s defence industry. Indian analysts don’t see the threat

Under its Asia Anew strategy, Turkey has deepened engagement with Pakistan and Bangladesh—both Islamic states—while simultaneously cultivating...

26.12.2025 20

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Swasti Rao

NSS to NDAA—the gap between Trump’s MAGA worldview and US actions is impossible to ignore

Allies and adversaries alike will struggle to parse which version of American strategy truly reflects the nation’s direction.

12.12.2025 20

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Swasti Rao

Chennai to the Arctic—India-Russia RELOS gives New Delhi new maritime access

RELOS is India’s newest enabler in a world where geography and geopolitics are changing at extraordinary speed and unpredictability.

05.12.2025 10

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Swasti Rao

No country built rare earths resilience alone. India must take lessons from Japan, Taiwan

Ventures by Japan, South Korea and Taiwan illustrate how the race for REE security is accelerating, powered by both geopolitical tension and...

28.11.2025 10

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Swasti Rao

Trump’s 28 points for Ukraine add up to a no-go at peace

Two questions are pertinent: Why does the Trump administration keep making the same mistakes on the peace proposal? And what does a hurried peace plan...

21.11.2025 10

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Swasti Rao

Trump’s unpredictability is not the absence of strategy—it works on everyone but China

The Italian term sprezzatura—a studied nonchalance that conceals intention—best captures the spirit of Trump’s foreign policy so far. The...

07.11.2025 10

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Swasti Rao

India’s exit from Ayni airbase reveals New Delhi’s power projection limits. A key location lost

Ayni’s origins lie in the immediate aftermath of 9/11, when the United States invaded Afghanistan and the international order briefly seemed open to...

31.10.2025 10

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Swasti Rao

Japan PM Sanae Takaichi’s first test is on 28 October—her meeting with Trump

Sanae Takaichi is no feminist icon—her views on gender roles and same-sex marriage are conservative—but she is seen as resolute, even hardline, on...

24.10.2025 9

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Swasti Rao

China is the only nation gaining from Russia-Ukraine war. India must rethink multi-alignment

New Delhi does not want a humiliated Russia. While every path to a stalemate is painful, a Russian defeat would be far worse for India’s interests.

17.10.2025 10

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Swasti Rao

In Great Game for Kabul, India plays a patient hand. Multi-alignment to compartmentalisation

Pakistan’s reported air strikes on Kabul last night, coinciding with Acting Afghan Foreign Minister Amir Khan Muttaqi’s visit to India, seem...

10.10.2025 10

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Swasti Rao

6 reasons Trump’s Gaza plan won’t work—even if Hamas accepts it

On paper, the 21-point plan looks balanced—Palestinian governance, international oversight, reconstruction pledges. But in reality, it is a...

03.10.2025 10

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Swasti Rao

India can’t go one-on-one with Morocco. Move beyond bilateral deals in Africa or get left out

India’s entry into Morocco should not be seen as a direct counter to Pakistan-Saudi Arabia or any singular rivalry. Geopolitics no longer works...

26.09.2025 10

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Swasti Rao

Dismantling Iran proxies is a legacy issue for Netanyahu. And Iraq is his last battleground

For India, the strategic ripples are significant. The immediate concern is Pakistan’s diplomatic gain as it embeds itself deeper into the defence...

19.09.2025 10

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Swasti Rao

EU is evolving into a security actor. It opens new doors for India

Mindset shift in Brussels is a recognition that Europe must move beyond its economic comfort zone if it is to remain relevant in a harsher world.

15.09.2025 20

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Swasti Rao

India must move Japan from ‘old friend’ trap to real partners

PM Modi’s visit to Japan comes at the right moment to recalibrate a relationship long described as “natural” but left underutilised. We must...

29.08.2025 10

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Swasti Rao

India talked big on Russia-Ukraine mediation. Alaska meet offers a window

Europe and Ukraine’s agencies are crucial. Steering the Alaska talks bilaterally between the US and Russia will foil the outcomes before they even...

15.08.2025 10

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Swasti Rao

Buying Russian oil, misreading Trump—3 points will define India’s next energy strategy

India should have secured greater savings by pressing Russia for prices nearer the cap while sustaining high volumes. This would have preserved...

08.08.2025 10

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Swasti Rao

Trump tariff forces India to shed illusion. Stop conflating status with power

India’s future lies in pragmatism. Protectionism must be phased out gradually, not in disruptive shocks.

01.08.2025 30

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Swasti Rao

Thailand-Cambodia clash is more than a border fight—it’s a new front in Cold War 2.0

The Southeast Asian theatre is central to the Great Power contest between the US and China. It’s also a landscape where middle powers—France, the...

25.07.2025 20

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Swasti Rao

Trump’s Ukraine U-turn puts Russia’s trade partners at risk. India caught in the middle

Across strategic and political circles, there is a broad consensus that India should prioritise its national interest by integrating into global...

18.07.2025 20

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Swasti Rao

Paradox of India’s S-400 deal—key asset delayed when country needs it most

New Delhi’s growing optimism around the delivery of the two remaining S-400 Triumf air defence systems belies the long and complicated journey of...

11.07.2025 9

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Swasti Rao

Trump has driven up NATO’s defence spending. Why that’s good for India

While India may not export complete platforms to Europe, like it does for Armenia, there is a large market for secondary equipment, components, and...

27.06.2025 20

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Swasti Rao

Iran has fewer options & more risks than before. Its choices will affect all of Middle East

Autocratic regimes are seldom inclined toward humility. Some form of face-saving retaliation seems inevitable before diplomacy can resume.

22.06.2025 20

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Swasti Rao

Turkey’s ‘Asia Anew’ isn’t just a slogan—it’s a growing strategic surprise for India

While Turkey has expanded arms sales to Pakistan and Bangladesh, India has been conspicuously excluded, or rather blacklisted.

20.06.2025 10

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Swasti Rao

Anything that weakens Iran’s proxies is a win for India. Even Israel’s Operation Rising Lion

India is deeply entwined with the Gulf. Its abstention from the latest UNGA vote on Gaza ceasefire speaks volumes: Neutrality, in this case, is not...

13.06.2025 10

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Swasti Rao

Trump’s flip-flop to China’s aggression—What’s bringing India and Australia closer

Australia could serve as a bridge between European institutional expertise and Indo-Pacific realities.

06.06.2025 20

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Swasti Rao

Ukraine’s Operation Spider’s Web is a breakthrough in asymmetric warfare. What India can learn

The reported destruction of Russia’s strategic bombers isn't just a staggering financial loss but also a profound blow to Russia's military prestige...

02.06.2025 30

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Swasti Rao

Armenia’s buying Indian weapons. This opens entry points to Caucasus, Central Asia & beyond

Yerevan has not only bought several Indian platforms, but has also closely observed the performance of India’s indigenous systems in combat...

30.05.2025 20

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Swasti Rao

Countering Pakistan isn’t India’s only challenge. We need doctrinal clarity on China factor

India is in a strategic matrix of discomfort. All-party delegations aren't enough to counter it.

23.05.2025 10

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Swasti Rao

Operation Sindoor is a springboard in India’s new confidence in Make in India weapons

Operation Sindoor represents a movement away from dependency and toward self-sufficiency, from imitation to innovation, from ‘assembled in India’...

16.05.2025 10

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Swasti Rao

Minerals deal shows Trump is learning to cooperate with Ukraine

In Trump’s first 100 days in office, dominated by scattershot tariff wars and chaotic foreign policy manoeuvers, the deal stands out for its sheer...

02.05.2025 10

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Swasti Rao

Who is backing Pakistan? India must guard against Turkey & China’s dirty games

India's military is preparing a suitable retaliatory strategy in response to the Pahalgam attack. But these actions are only the beginning—a more...

25.04.2025 30

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Swasti Rao

Trump only offers chaos, not clarity. A 90-day tariff pause won’t fix strategic stupidity

New Delhi’s studied silence on all things Trump shows how India’s multi-alignment has long ceased to be evenly distributed. It now exists mostly...

21.04.2025 10

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Swasti Rao

Watch out for Beijing’s grey zone warfare. Bangladesh’s China tilt should worry India

Beijing may avoid a full-scale war with India due to its own commercial interests and because of cross-strait stakes, but its exponentially rising...

18.04.2025 10

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Swasti Rao

Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs are tone deaf theatrics. India must weather the storm

Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs have been unleashed on India despite its efforts to appease the US, leaving New Delhi with little to show for...

04.04.2025 20

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Swasti Rao