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Shawn Tully

Shawn Tully

Fortune

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Are Trump’s tariffs as bad as the Smoot-Hawley Act, which is blamed for deepening the Great Depression? They’re actually worse

Those dreading a return to the Smoot Hawley days think this time around could be even worse given the size and scale of Trump's new tariffs.

03.04.2025 9

Fortune

Shawn Tully

France fines Apple $162 million for privacy tool overreach

Authorities in Germany, Italy, Romania and Poland have opened similar probes against Apple.

31.03.2025 20

Fortune

Shawn Tully

Trump’s Social Security nominee is a Fortune 500 CEO. Will he fix the agency’s customer-service problems, or run afoul of Musk’s war on costs?

Fiserv CEO Frank Bisignano has the credentials to upgrade Social Security, but faces broad distrust because of DOGE's cuts.

31.03.2025 20

Fortune

Shawn Tully

Boeing whistleblower John Barnett’s tragic suicide note becomes a key piece of evidence in new lawsuit

The complaint spotlights Barnett's final thoughts as he contemplated taking his own life after locking himself inside his pickup truck overnight.

21.03.2025 10

Fortune

Shawn Tully

Exclusive: Superlawyer David Boies expected to hit Boeing with wrongful death suit spurred by suicide of whistleblower John Barnett

Boeing whistleblower Barnett "wasn't looking for anything for himself," Boies says. "He was just looking to make airplanes safe."

18.03.2025 2

Fortune

Shawn Tully

Trump claims tariffs will make the U.S. ‘rich again.’ But 5 undisputed facts about how they work throw cold water on that notion

What we know so far: Tariffs will have a huge effect on the economy—just not the one the President is projecting.

16.03.2025 40

Fortune

Shawn Tully

Economists are trying to quantify what Trump’s trade wars could do to the economy. There’s little precedent

Economist Steve Hanke of Johns Hopkins University puts it succinctly: “You can’t win a trade war,” he says.

15.03.2025 8

Fortune

Shawn Tully

What would Tesla be worth without Elon Musk?

Investors are starting to examine what they've long ignored: Tesla's bedrock value minus the "Musk premium."

08.03.2025 40

Fortune

Shawn Tully

The Social Security Administration’s new boss is an unmatched operator—and now the second biggest business figure in Trump-land

He's known as a Jamie Dimon protegé, a 9/11 hero, and an operational expert. Now Fiserv's Frank Bisignano can add government hell-raiser to his...

30.01.2025 20

Fortune

Shawn Tully

Why is the market sliding so hard, so fast?

The market is vulnerable to corrections like these when investors suddenly decide they want to get paid more, a lot more, for gains that dissolve like...

13.01.2025 10

Fortune

Shawn Tully

Here’s the Problem With the Stock Market’s Recent Rally

Now the bulls are in a bind.

13.01.2025 4

Fortune

Shawn Tully

What’s behind the shocking, sudden rise in interest rates over the past few weeks?

This explosive shift in rates—in the wrong direction—is a harbinger of trouble as it is a crucial long-term driver of stock returns.

19.11.2024 4

Fortune

Shawn Tully

Top data scientist: Betting markets think Trump is winning, but Harris voters have reasons to remain hopeful

Though bettors are favoring Trump, the data scientist who has been tracking this wild election is a lot less sure they're on the money this time.

05.11.2024 2

Fortune

Shawn Tully

October surprise: Trump just blew a huge lead, and the Madison Square Garden rally started the drop, says top data scientist

Miller's numbers show a jaw-dropping swing to Harris that would have seemed unimaginable two weeks ago.

02.11.2024 10

Fortune

Shawn Tully

Who is winning the election? Top data scientist launches electoral vote counter that shows the race moving in real time

Thomas Miller, a data scientist at Northwestern University, bases his predictions not on the polls, but on where people are placing political bets.

29.10.2024 2

Fortune

Shawn Tully

‘Fundamental’ analysis says Harris should win, but the ‘technicals’ show a big lead for Trump, say two leading election watchers

In presidential elections, fundamental and technical analysis are also the two leading methods for handicapping the outcome.

29.10.2024 3

Fortune

Shawn Tully

Prominent data scientist on latest election odds: Trump leads, but Harris is gaining

Thomas Miller, a data scientist and professor at Northwestern University, says the 2024 presidential race has whipsawed over the past several weeks.

24.10.2024 3

Fortune

Shawn Tully

What went wrong at CVS? Departing CEO Karen Lynch’s reign started brilliantly, then unraveled fast

A trifecta of problems, some that started before she took the top job, ended the reign of one of the most powerful women in American business.

19.10.2024 4

Fortune

Shawn Tully

Trump’s odds have surged over the past week and he now holds a 2 vote electoral college lead, says prominent data scientist

Thomas Miller, a professor at Northwestern University, maintains that his model guided by political betting data is a much better forecaster than...

10.10.2024 10

Fortune

Shawn Tully

Elon Musk’s 10 laws of management

Deciphering the world's strangest executive playbook.

04.10.2024 20

Fortune

Shawn Tully

Japan’s new prime minister is set to propose a happiness index

As part of a bid to help the economy and shrinking population.

03.10.2024 4

Fortune

Shawn Tully

Harris holds a 66 electoral vote lead over Trump, calculates prominent data scientist

Data scientist Thomas Miller has crafted a model for forecasting the 2024 presidential election that appears far more reliable than polling.

03.10.2024 10

Fortune

Shawn Tully

Data scientist nails the Trump gaffe that started what looks today like a Harris landslide

"That event, and not the debate that just made things worse for Trump, marked the decisive turning point in the campaign."

22.09.2024 2

Fortune

Shawn Tully