Oil prices will go down but won’t collapse
Global oil prices are likely to remain under pressure in 2026. Supply is expected to exceed demand by as much as 4 million barrels a day. The Energy Information Administration expects inventories to continue building through 2026, reinforcing downward pressure on prices.
West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. benchmark, is forecast to average around $51 a barrel in 2026, down from roughly $58 today. Some analysts warn that extreme excess supply could push prices sharply lower, with a temporary fall toward $40 a barrel not out of the question.
Any move toward $40, however, would likely be short-lived. Diamondback Energy, a major U.S. oil and gas producer, has already announced reductions in capital spending. As WTI falls toward $50 and below, other U.S. producers are likely to follow suit, cutting investment budgets. If prices dip into the........





















Toi Staff
Sabine Sterk
Penny S. Tee
Gideon Levy
Waka Ikeda
Grant Arthur Gochin
Rachel Marsden