The total political newbie who overcame a huge political deficit is now on the precipice of a majority.

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Figuring out the Canadian political winners of 2025 is pretty easy.

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Mark Carney, Ontario’s Doug Ford, Newfoundland and Labrador’s Tony Wakeham: They all won elections in 2025.

But Carney, Ford and Wakeham aren’t winners simply because of that. They’re winners because they all made a little history, as Nick Cave sang.

For his part, Ford increased his share of the popular vote with a third majority win, and he kept his political opponents marginalized. Wakeham’s achievement was also winning a majority government, and ending a decade of Liberal rule — stunning many in the province.

And Mark Carney? In 2025, Carney is the biggest winner of all. Because his Liberal Party wasn’t supposed to win anything.

Just one year ago, Ipsos was reporting that Pierre Poilievre’s Tories had a 25-point lead over........

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