Israel has reportedly warned the Trump administration that Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps may be using an ongoing military exercise focusing on missiles as cover to launch an attack on Israel, according, amid fears that Jerusalem and Tehran are readying for another confrontation.

Citing Israeli and US sources, the Axios news site reported Sunday that Israel has a much lower risk tolerance after Hamas’s October 7, 2023, attack, and noted that Jerusalem issued similar warnings six weeks ago when it identified similar movements of Iranian missiles, though nothing came of it.

“The chances for an Iranian attack are less than 50 percent, but nobody is willing to take the risk and just say it is only an exercise,” an Israeli source was quoted by the news site as saying.

However, the US intelligence community has not seen any signs that an Iranian strike could be imminent, an American source told the outlet.

According to the sources quoted by Axios, the highest risk of war breaking out between the two regional enemy countries comes from a potential “miscalculation,” with each side thinking that other is preparing for attack and moving to preempt it.

According to the report, Iran was down around 50% of its arsenal following the war with Israel, left with around 1,500 missiles and 200 launchers. While Tehran is ramping up production efforts, the outlet quoted an Israeli source as saying it has not yet returned to its prewar........

© The Times of Israel