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Trump Blew Up the Deal in 2018. Now We’re at War

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yesterday

On Monday, Steve Witkoff went on Fox News and said that during negotiations last week, Iranian officials didn’t just admit they had enough enriched uranium for eleven nuclear bombs… They bragged about it.

That is not the language of a country boxed in by effective diplomacy. That is the language of a country that knows the guardrails are gone.

And those guardrails were torn out in 2018 by Donald Trump when he walked away from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action.

Before that decision, Iran’s nuclear program was capped and monitored. The deal, negotiated under Obama, limited uranium stockpiles, restricted enrichment levels, and allowed international inspectors inside facilities. Iran did not have enough material for even one bomb without being detected well in advance.

That was the reality.

Trump scrapped it anyway.

He called it weak. He called it a disaster. He promised something tougher, something better, something that would bring Iran to its knees.

What he delivered instead was a slow-motion collapse of the only system that was actually restraining Iran’s nuclear capacity.

When the United States pulled out, sanctions snapped back into place. Iran initially stayed within the deal’s limits, hoping Europe could salvage it. When that failed, Tehran began scaling up enrichment. First gradually. Then aggressively. Each step was a response to a vacuum created in Washington.

The United States and Israel are engaged in open military conflict with Iran. Strikes are hitting Iranian targets. Retaliatory attacks are flying. Every American and Israeli ally in the region is also being attacked by Iran. The Middle East is once again on fire.

Let’s go back to that number… Eleven.

That number does not exist in a vacuum. It exists because the limits that once held it down were long since removed.

Trump’s defenders will argue that Iran was always hostile. That it funds militias. That it threatens Israel’s existence. All of that predates the nuclear deal. None of it changes the fact that the JCPOA was specifically designed to slow and monitor uranium enrichment. It was not about making Iran friendly. It was about making Iran predictable and constrained.

Instead, Trump chose confrontation without containment.

And let’s be honest about another key player: Benjamin Netanyahu.

Netanyahu fought the nuclear deal from the start. He lobbied Congress against it. He aligned closely with Trump’s decision to scrap it. He framed maximum pressure as the safer path.

If the deal had remained in place, Iran’s stockpile would still be capped. Inspectors would still be on the ground. Breakout time would still be measured in months or years, not weeks. Instead of missiles and airstrikes, we would be arguing over compliance reports.

Instead, we are in a war that did not need to unfold this way.

You cannot rip up a containment agreement and then act shocked when containment collapses.

You cannot remove inspections and then be outraged when enrichment surges.

You cannot replace diplomacy with slogans and expect long-term security.

Witkoff’s admission this week was not just a revelation about Iran. It was an indictment of the policy choices that led us here. Iranian officials felt emboldened enough to boast because the framework that once boxed them in is long gone.

This is not strength. It is fallout.

Trump did not inherit a nuclear-armed Iran when he entered his first term. He inherited a constrained one.

He dismantled the constraints in 2018.

Now we are living with the consequences, in real time, with real casualties, in a war that traces back to a decision made for politics rather than strategy.

History is not subtle about cause and effect.

Iran built up the uranium and now the region is burning.


© The Times of Israel (Blogs)