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Why Israel might be better off without the Abraham Accords

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23.08.2026

There are two maps of the Middle East. One is drawn for television: flags, ambassadors, handshakes, denunciations, and summits. The other is drawn in rooms that do not appear on any floor plan: intelligence exchanges, defense coordination, commercial understandings, and messages passed through intermediaries whose names will never be published.

Israel has spent years trying to make the second map look like the first – converting covert relationships into public ceremonies, quiet cooperation into White House lawn spectacles – and it may be making the most consequential strategic error of its diplomatic history: mistaking visibility for substance.

Consider Qatar – not as an ally or an enemy, but as perhaps the clearest case study of the region’s real operating system, exposed by a disclosure so stark that it is almost comically self-incriminating. On August 17, Channel 12 reported that Israel is halting all defense exports to Qatar, which Jerusalem now officially views as “an evil state that works against Israel.” The decision, the report noted, covers future sales and terminates all maintenance and support for previous deliveries.

But buried inside this gesture of rupture was an admission of the practical existence of a defense relationship that had long operated outside the diplomatic relationship and whose scale had previously emerged largely through investigative reporting. Israel had been selling Qatar hundreds of millions of dollars’ worth of defense equipment – air defense systems, night-vision technology, advanced avionics – embedded within larger American-delivered platforms, approved by the prime minister and the Foreign Ministry’s export-licensing body. You cannot halt something that did not exist.

And the very act of announcing the end of defense exports to a state you now call evil is, by definition, a confession that you were arming it while calling it evil – or, more precisely, that the relationship you maintained in private bore no resemblance whatsoever to the relationship you performed in public.

The mirror image is equally damning: no official in Doha ever acknowledged – not once, not to its own public, not to the Arab world whose grievances it claims to champion – that Qatar was purchasing defense technology from the very state whose actions it denounces at the United Nations, whose wars it funds mediation to end, and whose principal enemy it houses, feeds, and platforms.

Both governments maintained the fiction. Both governments knew it was a fiction. And both governments understood that the fiction was the price of the relationship – because the relationship, conducted in silence, served interests that the rhetoric, performed in public, was designed to obscure.

Naftali Bennett, the former prime minister now campaigning to return to office, has promised to designate Doha an “enemy state.” Yet a Channel 13 investigation this month revealed classified documents from Bennett’s own premiership showing that his government approved a mechanism through which Qatari-funded Egyptian fuel entered Gaza and generated revenue for the Hamas-run administration – this after Bennett had publicly vowed to end the old system of Qatari cash delivered in suitcases to the Strip.

The contradiction is less surprising than it looks, because the Israel-Qatar relationship has operated on precisely this kind of productive incoherence for three decades. In other words, they have been........

© The Times of Israel (Blogs)