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Let’s stop kidding ourselves. Taxes will have to go up

11 0
01.06.2025

Before the election, the business press was terribly concerned about the decade of budget deficits and ever-rising public debt the Albanese government had clocked up. Something must be done! After the election, however, when the government pressed on with a move to save up to $3 billion a year by making rich men pay more tax on their superannuation, it was appalled. The sky would fall.

What the two contradictory positions have in common was that both are criticisms of a government few of its business readers would have much sympathy for. But the episode also shows the way voters’ attitudes towards the budget abound in wishful thinking – something the pollies encourage. “You want more, but don’t want to pay for it? Sure, I can do that.”

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and Treasurer Dr Jim Chalmers. What politicians never tell us is that, if you want it, it will cost you.Credit: Alex Ellinghausen

In Treasury secretary Dr Steven Kennedy’s speech to the Australian Business Economists last week, he showed a graph of the budget’s “structural” deficit stretching all the way out to 2035-36. (The structural component of the budget balance is the bit that’s left after you’ve allowed for the effect on the balance of where we happen to be in the business cycle of boom and bust.)

The structural deficit for next financial year is estimated to be 1.5 per cent of gross domestic product. Kennedy noted that spending on the National Disability Insurance Scheme is expected to reach more than our spending on defence. But he reminded us that (thanks mainly to our good friend Mad King Donald) defence spending is likely to grow a lot in coming........

© The Sydney Morning Herald