America Still Has a Political Center, and It’s the Key to Winning
Democratic winner
Republican winner
Presidential vote margin
Congressional vote margin
Republicans in districts Harris won
Republicans in districts Trump won
Democrats in districts Harris won
Democrats in districts Trump won
These are all the races for the House of Representatives last year that were somewhat close.
In most places, the winner came from the party that also won the district in the presidential election.
Except for these 16 candidates. They’re Democrats who won in places that backed Trump and Republicans who won in places that backed Harris.
What do they have in common?
They’re all moderates.
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The Editorial Board
American politics today can seem to be dominated by extremes. President Trump is carrying out far-right policies, while some of the country’s highest-profile Democrats identify as democratic socialists. Moderation sometimes feels outdated.
It is not. Candidates closer to the political center, from both parties, continue to fare better in most elections than those farther to the right or left. This pattern may be the strongest one in electoral politics today, but it is one that many partisans try to obscure and many voters do not fully grasp.
The evidence is vast. Republicans have frittered away winnable races in Alabama, New Hampshire and elsewhere over the past decade by nominating extremist candidates, while Senator Susan Collins of Maine, a moderate Republican, is the only sitting senator who represents a state that reliably votes the other way in presidential elections. On the........
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