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Do half of us really prefer One Nation to Labor?

24 20
20.01.2026

Fresh political polling from Newspoll and Resolve confirm the growing support for One Nation.

Newspoll figures released Sunday night show One Nation with a bigger share of the primary vote than the Coalition, at 22 versus 21 per cent.

And while Resolve still had One Nation 10 points behind the Coalition, at 18 to 28 per cent, the two indicators follow sensational opinion polling by DemosAU released last week.

The DemosAU polling not only showed One Nation tied with the Coalition on “first-preference votes”, but also level with Labor on “two-party preferred”.

According to that polling research, if an election were held tomorrow, Labor would win 29 per cent of first-preference votes, One Nation and the Coalition would be tied on 23 per cent each, Greens would win 12 per cent and other 13 per cent.

One Nation won only 6 per cent of the vote at last year’s federal election. To put it another way, just under one million Australians voted “1” for a One Nation candidate in 2025, and this polling suggests over 3.5 million would do so today.

Whereas first-preference measures........

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