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7 states most likely to follow Texas in redistricting

6 28
09.08.2025

A redistricting arms race is heating up around the country as other states look to follow Texas’s lead in redrawing their congressional lines ahead of the 2026 midterms.

Multiple Democratic and Republican governors have expressed interest in their states conducting their own redistricting process to add as many seats as they can for their parties and increase the chances that their party can win control of the House next year. But whether they will be able to depends on the state and its own unique rules.

Here are the seven states most likely to follow Texas in redistricting:

Ohio

Ohio is the only state in the country, even including Texas, already guaranteed to redraw its district lines as it’s in a bit of a different situation than the others.

State lawmakers are required to approve a new map ahead of the midterms because the current map, in place since 2022, was only approved by a simple majority along party lines rather than a bipartisan supermajority. But with Republicans firmly in control of both houses of the state legislature, the party still seems likely to pick up a few seats with the next map.

The two Democratic lawmakers most likely to potentially lose their seats in the process are Reps. Marcy Kaptur and Emilia Sykes in the 9th and 13th Congressional districts. So while Republicans already occupy 10 of the 15 House seats that Ohio has, they could still pick up a few more.

California

California Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) has been arguably the most visible Democrat in responding to Republicans’ efforts to use redistricting, and the Golden State seems to be the party’s best chance to pick up the most seats if Texas approves a new........

© The Hill