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MAGA Isn’t Dying Because Of The Iran War

What force, movement, or personality is rising in American politics, or anywhere, that becomes dominant and shoves Trumpism aside?

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Politics requires you to engage in the act of choosing, usually between a variety of poor to bad options. If you reject X, you’re necessarily choosing Not-X. If you’re not frozen as a perpetual adolescent, you know that politics isn’t going to save you, and you understand that a frequently pretty good elected official is a better choice than a repulsive and evil elected official. You’re not marking a ballot to usher in utopia, because you know that utopia isn’t on a ballot.

So the issue of The Spectator that declares “MAGA’s demise” and offers a long article on “the end of Trumpism” is missing at least half the argument. “There is already evidence,” an editorial declares, “that his successful coalition, representing as it did a number of independents and former Democrats, is coming apart.” You can read the longer essay on Trumpism from Christopher Caldwell here.

As you read it, look for the part where Caldwell says what’s rising in its place. Trumpism is dying, so (fill in blank) is about to replace it. The coalition is coming apart, so it’s being pulled toward (here’s another blank). Spoiler alert: It isn’t there.

Someone who tells you that X is dying without explaining what Not-X is going to be hasn’t actually made an argument that X is dying.

If the war in Iran goes on too long, and if it doesn’t end with clear success on military and political terms, which is how it’s looking, MAGA will be hurt. The coalition of people who formed around Donald Trump’s promise of a political focus on the health of........

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