Australia has been in the grip of housing crisis for years.

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Home ownership is simply beyond the reach of many, rent is surging, and homelessness continues rising. It seems likely the Treasurer Jim Chalmers will implement changes to the 50 per cent capital gains tax discount and negative gearing in Tuesday's budget, two policies which have worked together to push house prices up and up and up.

Which means for the first time in decades, this federal budget may stop making Australia's housing affordability worse.

If Australia doesn't do something to fix the problem, we will only become more unequal and more divided between the haves and have-nots.

As Alan Kohler said in his brilliant Quarterly Essay piece on the housing divide: "Education and hard work are no longer the main determinants of how wealthy you are; now it comes down to where you live and what sort of house you inherit from your parents. It means Australia is less of an egalitarian meritocracy. Material success is now largely a function of geography, not accomplishment."

If working hard isn't enough to buy you a stable roof over your head, what next?

Australia will be a poorer and less stable nation if home ownership becomes unaffordable for ordinary people.

We don't want to become a society where the only way young people can dream of owning a home is if they are fortunate enough to inherit one. That's why these tax reforms are so important.

For 25 years, the CGT discount and negative gearing have worked successfully together to turn housing from a home into a speculative asset. The 50 per cent capital gains tax discount, introduced by the Howard government in 1999, means that if you buy an asset like a house, hold it for at least 12 months and then sell it, you only pay tax on half the profit you made.

As a result, investors poured into the market. House prices and wages, which once grew at roughly........

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