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California’s GOP on Cusp of a Nominee, but Dems Still Favored to Win Big in Governor’s Race

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09.06.2026

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Home – Political News – California’s GOP on Cusp of a Nominee, but Dems Still Favored to Win Big in Governor’s Race

California’s GOP on Cusp of a Nominee, but Dems Still Favored to Win Big in Governor’s Race

A Republican appears set to make the November ballot, but California’s Democrat supermajority isn’t going anywhere. Experts predict a Democrat will ultimately win the governor’s race and keep the state under one-party control.

“It’s a Democratic state. … I think Steve Hilton will put up a noble effort and will probably help some down-ballot Republicans, but unless [Xavier] Becerra has a massive scandal or something really unusual happens, [he will] beat Hilton,” Christian Grose, a political science professor at the University of Southern California, told the Daily Signal.

With 84% of ballots counted as of Tuesday evening, Becerra leads with an estimated 27.7% of the vote, while Hilton trails close behind at 25.1%. Decision Desk HQ on Monday night predicted the current leaders will advance to the top-two primary. The Associated Press has yet to call the second-place challenger.

California’s gubernatorial primary election produced few surprises. Last Thursday, Hilton led the race. But over the weekend, Becerra, the expected front-runner, regained the lead and secured his spot in the general election. Billionaire Tom Steyer remains in third place, with 22.4% of the vote.

Klink Campaigns President Matt Klink told the Daily Signal before Election Day that if Becerra and Hilton faced off, the Democrat would win. However, he warned that Becerra’s campaign could face issues.

“If it’s Becerra........

© The Daily Signal