It’s over two weeks since the United States and Israel began their war on Iran. In the federal Resolve and Morgan polls, Labor has lost support to the Greens and Others, although YouGov has Labor’s vote steady. Left-wing voters would like Anthony Albanese to oppose the war.

One Nation is ahead of the Coalition in all three polls, and it appears the switch in Liberal leadership from Sussan Ley to Angus Taylor has had no lasting impact. Last Wednesday Matt Canavan was elected Nationals leader in a party room spill after former leader David Littleproud resigned the previous day.

The total vote for the Coalition and One Nation was 45–46% in these polls, and it appears to have stalled at this level. Labor would win an election comfortably on current polls, against either the Coalition or One Nation.

In the US, Donald Trump’s net approval has scarcely changed since the beginning of the Iran war, but he is now the most unpopular president at this point in presidential terms.

A national Resolve poll for Nine newspapers, conducted March 9–14 from a sample of 1,803, gave Labor 29% of the primary vote (down three since the February Resolve poll), One Nation 24% (up one), the Coalition 22% (down one), the Greens 12% (up one), independents 8% (up one) and others 5% (steady).

No two-party estimate was provided. By 2025 election preference flows, Labor would lead the Coalition by above 53–47, a 0.5-point gain for the Coalition.

Albanese’s net approval was up three points to -17 (52% poor, 36% good). Taylor’s initial net approval in this poll was 9 (35% good, 27% poor). Ley had........

© The Conversation