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FA Cup draw analysis: Are Premier League's 'big six' luckier than other teams?

10 0
10.01.2025

New Delhi: The FA Cup draw has always been a source of heated debates among football fans. Accusations of “favouritism” often dominate conversations, especially when some clubs seem to get easier fixtures year after year. But does the data back up these claims? Looking at the FA Cup draws for the Premier League’s “big six” over the past decade: Manchester City, Manchester United, Liverpool, Chelsea, Arsenal, and Tottenham reveals intriguing insights.

From Chelsea’s abundance of home draws to Liverpool’s challenging away fixtures, the numbers show how luck in the draw can shape each team’s journey.

Soccer Football – Premier League – Tottenham Hotspur v Chelsea – Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, Britain – December 8, 2024 Chelsea’s Cole Palmer celebrates scoring their fourth goal (Image via REUTERS/Dylan Martinez)

Chelsea have undoubtedly been the luckiest in terms of home draws. Since the 2014-15 season, they have played 69% of their FA Cup ties at Stamford Bridge. This means that out of their 35 matches in the competition, 24 were on home turf.

In fact, Chelsea have only faced a Premier League side away from home four times in the last decade. Even more remarkably, their only away tie against a fellow big six club came in the 2022-23 season when they lost to Manchester City under Graham Potter.

This home dominance has........

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