India faces an emerging geopolitical storm as Bangladesh’s interim government, led by Muhammad Yunus, aligns with Pakistan and China, forming a troubling axis that threatens New Delhi’s regional dominance. The convergence of Yunus’s administration, Bangladesh’s military, Pakistan’s strategic provocations, and China’s growing influence in South Asia presents a multifaceted challenge that India cannot afford to underestimate. Tensions escalated following provocative remarks by a retired Bangladesh army officer, closely tied to Yunus’s government, advocating for a joint military arrangement with China to seize India’s northeastern states in the event of an India-Pakistan conflict.

This inflammatory rhetoric, coupled with Bangladesh’s warming ties with Pakistan and China, signals a deliberate shift in Dhaka’s foreign policy under Yunus, moving away from the India-friendly stance of the ousted Sheikh Hasina regime. Since August 2024, when Hasina’s government fell, attacks on minorities, particularly Hindus, have surged in Bangladesh, straining bilateral relations. India’s revocation of transshipment facilities for Bangladeshi exports in April 2025 further highlighted this rift. Meanwhile, Pakistan’s military, emboldened by Chinese weaponry like the J-10C jets and PL-15 missiles, has intensified its aggression, as seen in the May 2025 India-Pakistan clashes. China, leveraging its economic and military largesse, is deepening its footprint in both nations, positioning itself as a counterweight to India. This alignment, fueled by Yunus’s outreach to Beijing and Pakistan’s reliance on Chinese arms, creates a volatile dynamic that could destabilise South Asia. The combination of Yunus’s interim regime, Bangladesh’s military ambitions, Pakistan’s hostility, and China’s strategic manoeuvring forms a potent threat that demands India’s urgent attention as it navigates this complex regional chessboard.

Muhammad Yunus, as Bangladesh’s interim leader since August 2024, has steered Dhaka towards a confrontational stance against India, undermining decades of cooperative ties fostered under Sheikh Hasina. His administration’s failure to curb rising attacks on Hindus—over 1,000 incidents reported since August—has........

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