Opinion | Iran’s War Aim Is Not Israel Or US, But The Global Economy

Gulf countries understand the game Iran is playing. The question is whether they can hold their nerve, sustain their defences, and resist being drawn into a military response

The war began at 02:14 Tehran time on February 28. Operation Roaring Lion and Operation Epic Fury decapitated Iran’s leadership, gutted its air defence architecture, and announced to the world that the post-1979 regional order was finished. Washington and Tel Aviv pulled the trigger. What followed was not what either capital planned for. Iran did not fold. A regime collapse, as anticipated, never materialised.

In six days, the Islamic Republic of Iran has fired over 400 ballistic missiles and close to 1,000 drones across the Persian Gulf. The targets tell the story: Dubai International Airport, Jebel Ali port, Ras Tanura refinery, Hamad International in Doha, the US Fifth Fleet headquarters in Bahrain. Israel, by comparison, has absorbed a fraction of that volume. Tehran has made its calculus explicit. This is not a war Iran intends to fight against Israel or US. It is a war Iran intends to fight through the Gulf.

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This is not improvisation. It is strategy. Military planners have long understood........

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