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After US-Israeli war on Iran: What is left of the Gulf countries’ trust in America?

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The world has now witnessed relief as a two-week-long truce between Iran and the US came into effect on April 8 (Wednesday), after nearly 40 days of relentless exchanges of attacks between the United States and Israel on one side and Iran on the other, during which the Gulf region served as one of the main military theaters. As the fog of conflict begins to clear, one painful reality becomes undeniable: the Gulf states were dragged into a war they never chose, to serve an agenda that was never theirs, all while their security was traded away to protect Israel, not them. This has fundamentally exposed the true nature of Washington’s alliances in the region.

While most Gulf countries publicly denounce Iran’s attacks on their territories, decision-makers in these capitals are confronting a simple and painful question: was all that investment in US weapons—including hosting American military bases—worth the cost? And if not, what is left of the United States as a reliable partner for them?

From the very first strikes on February 28, it was clear that this war was not about Gulf security. It was exclusively in Israel’s interest—an attempt to reset the regional balance at Iran’s expense, and at the expense of the stability of the entire Gulf.

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov articulated what many in the region think privately: the war aims “to create a split between Iran and its Arab neighbors,” operating on the old colonial principle of “divide and conquer.”

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov articulated what many in the region think privately: the war aims “to create a split between Iran and its Arab neighbors,” operating on the old colonial principle of “divide and conquer.”

The Gulf states were never consulted. Their fears were never considered. Instead, they were presented with a fait accompli, forced to absorb the consequences of a conflict designed in Washington and Tel Aviv. Once again, the Middle East is caught in a US-manufactured conflict, bearing the costs while American strategists speak of “managed chaos” to ensure dominance—especially over energy sources.

READ: Ceasefire or pause? The Gulf held hostage by Netanyahu’s war

Where was the protection?

For decades, the Gulf states hosted American bases, purchased billions in US weaponry, and justified this to their publics as necessary insurance. The Patriot missiles and THAAD systems, they were told, would protect them! Then came the war. And then, there is no protection and appeared that these US bases gave only an illusion of security, as they themselves suffered the Iranian attacks.

Furthermore, as Iran launched waves of retaliatory strikes across the Gulf and Israel, attacking US military bases and other facilities, the Gulf countries found themselves less protected by the US air defense systems, where the US earlier redeployed many of its air defense batteries from the Gulf towards Israel. Some were even pulled from South Korea, creating temporary defensive gaps there to prioritize the defense of Israel.

Furthermore, as Iran launched waves of retaliatory strikes across the Gulf and Israel, attacking US military bases and other facilities, the Gulf countries found themselves less protected by the US air defense systems, where the US earlier redeployed many of its air defense batteries from the Gulf towards Israel. Some were even pulled from South Korea, creating temporary defensive gaps there to prioritize the defense of Israel.

The message was unmistakable: when the moment of truth arrived, Gulf protection was a lower priority than Israeli security. Those billions spent on American weapons? They did not stop Iranian attacks from striking targets in these countries.

Even more brazen was the US military’s operational decision to relocate its personnel from military bases—the very bases that became Iranian targets—into civilian installations, including luxury hotels and office buildings. As Iran pursued what it called legitimate retaliation against the US-Israeli aggression, American forces took shelter among Gulf civilians, effectively using them as human shields. The IRGC explicitly warned it would target “all economic centers in the region” and listed specific US consulting and investment firms among its potential targets.

The US not only left these countries unprotected after dragging them into a war not of their choice, but it also endangered civilian populations and facilities by moving its troops into civilian sites. This meant one thing: the US in the Gulf is now in need of protection, not the opposite—it has become a burden, not a source of security or stability.

The ultimate insult: “pay for the war”

And then came the final humiliation. On March 30, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt announced that President Trump would be “very interested” in having the Gulf Arab states pay for the cost of the war. A war they did not ask for. A war they actively suffered from. A war that has already cost Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Kuwait, and Qatar nearly $200 billion in direct and indirect losses in the first month of the war, according to UN estimates.

The message from the US could not be clearer: you will host our bases, you will be targeted because of our presence, your civilians will be endangered, and when the bill arrives, you will pay. This stance makes it unequivocally clear that the United States has strategically deceived the Gulf countries and breached the very foundation of what an alliance is supposed to mean.

The message from the US could not be clearer: you will host our bases, you will be targeted because of our presence, your civilians will be endangered, and when the bill arrives, you will pay. This stance makes it unequivocally clear that the United States has strategically deceived the Gulf countries and breached the very foundation of what an alliance is supposed to mean.

Egypt and the Gulf states: Sharp differences over the Iran war

What is left of trust?

How can any Gulf state continue to trust a “security guarantor” that behaves this way? The United States has proven that its Middle East doctrine is not about mutual security or honoring its alliances with its presumed partners but about unilateral Israeli favoritism. The Gulf states have been tested, and they have been found to be expendable.

Analysts now openly question whether the Gulf states will continue to invest billions in American weapons systems that did not protect them, or continue to host US bases that became magnets for attack rather than shields. As one political expert noted, these bases are now seen not as “strategic assets” but as “strategic burdens.

Analysts now openly question whether the Gulf states will continue to invest billions in American weapons systems that did not protect them, or continue to host US bases that became magnets for attack rather than shields. As one political expert noted, these bases are now seen not as “strategic assets” but as “strategic burdens.

A source of instability

No doubt remains: the United States has clearly appeared as a source of instability, worry, and conflict in the Middle East. Its interventions have reached a dead end, endangered the security of its partners and dragged them into uncalculated conflicts.

But the lesson is clear. A sane country, looking at the evidence, would conclude that hosting US bases does not bring safety—it brings danger. Aligning with US policy does not bring prosperity—it brings subordination. And trusting the US as a reliable partner does not bring peace—it brings war.

Any nation that values its sovereignty and the safety of its people would do everything in its power to kick out this source of instability and chart an independent course. The Gulf states have gone through a bitter experience; a one that will put their previous security arrangements with the United States into question.

The views expressed in this article belong to the author and do not necessarily reflect the editorial policy of Middle East Monitor.


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