As Reform UK revels in its success in last week’s local elections – winning 1,450 council seats – the idea of prime minister Nigel Farage no longer looks like a pipe dream for the Clacton MP. In response to Friday’s results, Farage said this is “a truly historic shift in British politics,” and that these results would not be a “one-off”. There is no doubt that the party has capitalised on public frustration over immigration, living standards and distrust in Westminster – and has gone from a fringe movement to a serious force in British politics. But, can Reform UK keep growing – or has it peaked? Michael Crick, Jonn Elledge and Zoë Grünewald offer their perspectives.

As Reform UK revels in its success in last week’s local elections – winning 1,450 council seats – the idea of prime minister Nigel Farage no longer looks like a pipe dream for the Clacton MP.

In response to Friday’s results, Farage said this is “a truly historic shift in British politics,” and that these results would not be a “one-off”.

There is no doubt that the party has capitalised on public frustration over immigration, living standards and distrust in Westminster – and has gone from a fringe movement to a serious force in British politics. But, can Reform UK keep growing – or has it peaked?

Michael Crick, Jonn Elledge and Zoë Grünewald offer their perspectives.

Some people seem to think it’s all but certain that Nigel Farage will be prime minister within two or three years. But hold your horses. Stand back from the crowd. It’s far from certain – indeed, unlikely.

True, last week’s election results were a stunning achievement for Reform – a historic moment. Farage’s forces trounced all the others in Thursday’s local elections, winning hundreds more seats in our town halls than any other party, and significantly more votes.

Farage undoubtedly has all the momentum right now. But I am confident he won’t be occupying 10 Downing Street after the next Westminster election, due before the summer........

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