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Foreign Affairs |
Trump’s Most Consequential Foreign Policy Mistake
China and Russia Are Harvesting Encrypted Secrets—and Getting Closer to Cracking Them
Every few months, a new round of obituaries for NATO arrives. Commentators declare the alliance finished, analysts speak of irreparable rifts, and...
How the Iran War Will Transform America’s Military Role
Washington Will Come to Regret Its Stalemate With Beijing
For years, Hungary has been a surprising front in the global battle between authoritarianism and democracy. It attracted outsize attention for a...
Washington Will Come to Regret Its Stalemate With Beijing
China is suffering from enormous waste. For decades, government officials have built grand, showy projects that prioritize size and appearance over...
And the Coming Crisis in Strategic Stability
When President Donald Trump returned from a trip to the Gulf in May 2025, he trumpeted $2.2 trillion in bilateral deals the United States had signed...
How China’s Currency Manipulation Is Warping the World Economy
At this year’s Munich Security Conference, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen stressed Europe’s “long tradition in freedom of...
For two and a half decades, whenever the Turkish government had a falling out with the United States and Europe, analysts frantically began worrying...
America Must Build—and Use—Leverage Against Beijing
Iran’s shuttering of the Strait of Hormuz, and the United States’ failure to restore the free flow of maritime traffic, has put a spotlight on...
America Depends on It—and Can Restore It
“Help is on its way,” U.S. President Donald Trump promised in January, as Iranians took to the streets and were killed by the thousands by...
What American Military Force Can and Cannot Do
On the morning of April 8, a squadron of jet fighters struck oil refineries on Iran’s Lavan Island. The attacks came just before the cease-fire that...
The Trump administration’s motivations for going to war in Iran remain in question. But amid all the debates over the state of the Iranian nuclear...
Beijing’s Blindspots Hinder Real Reform
Eighteen months into his second U.S. presidential term, it may appear that Donald Trump has permanently altered his country’s relationships with its...
At the outset of the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran in February 2026, the Islamic Republic appeared battered and weakened. Large-scale bombing had destroyed...
Eighteen months into his second U.S. presidential term, it may appear that Donald Trump has permanently altered his country’s relationships with its...
The Pentagon Needs Both Quantity and Quality to Win Modern Conflicts
Most analyses of how to end the war in Ukraine focus on the intentions of one man: Russian President Vladimir Putin. This assumes that the person who...
Over the past week, the status of the conflict in Lebanon has careered wildly between escalation and attempts at statecraft. On May 30, Israeli and...
Tehran’s New Strategic Calculus
Why a Cease-Fire Is Now a Real Possibility
On February 3, 2025, exactly 20 years after former South African President Nelson Mandela stood in front of a cheering crowd in London’s Trafalgar...
Thousands of educated workers leave their home countries every day for more developed and stable economies. In turn, these emigrants deplete their...
On February 3, 2025, exactly 20 years after former South African President Nelson Mandela stood in front of a cheering crowd in London’s Trafalgar...
Why a Cease-Fire Is Now a Real Possibility
A Deal With Washington Is the Island’s Best Hope
A new front has opened in the U.S.-China competition in artificial intelligence: open-weight, local AI models. Until recently, the most capable AI...
A Deal With Washington Is the Island’s Best Hope
Three months after joint U.S.-Israeli attacks on Iran started a war in the Middle East, the United States remains stuck in strategic limbo, with no...
Nuclear Guarantees Cannot Replace U.S. Forces in Europe
The United States’ security ties with Europe are fraying. Even before the war in Iran returned the Middle East to the front of policymakers’...
In Trying to Avoid a Quagmire, America Found a Dead End
A few months after coming to power in April 2018, Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed signed a peace deal to end a decades-long insurgency in the...
America and China Cannot Dominate or Exclude Each Other
Over the last ten years, Japan has shed its pacifist identity. After promising, post–World War II, to maintain only a tiny military, Tokyo is now...
Not Choosing Is Not an Option
The Coming Contest for Asia’s Waterways
What Hormuz Unleashed
War, Empire, and the Forgotten Power of the United Nations
On February 22, cartel boss Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes, known as “El Mencho,” was killed in a hideout in the town of Tapalpa, a well-known tourist...
Similar Wars End in Similar Ways
In the months after Robert Prevost became Pope Leo XIV, in May 2025, he kept a relatively low profile. He fulfilled prescheduled trips to Turkey and...