‘Polling Plus’ podcast hosts Matt Towery and Robert Cahaly say the race between Trump and Harris is extremely tight and discuss the key groups the Trump campaign should target to gain more support.

In every election there are moments, some obvious at the time, some less so, that shape the state of the race, leaving public opinion on the ground, and eventually in the polls, very different from how they found it.

This year is no exception and since the contest hit the final stretch under early September skies, there are five events -- twists in the road -- that have led to the general sense of panic we see among Democrats, and renewed confidence for the Republicans.

IF 2024 POLLING ERRORS MIRROR THOSE IN 2020 ELECTION, TRUMP ‘WINS IN A BLOWOUT,’ SAYS CNN DATA GURU

It is worth remembering that at the end of August, Kamala Harris was firmly leading, Donald Trump was being bashed, even by some on the right, for choosing JD Vance as his running mate, and frankly, the picture was looking really rosy for the Democrats. But that was all about to change.

Here are the five moments that wrought that change.

GLENDALE, ARIZONA - AUGUST 23: Former Republican presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Republican presidential nominee, former U.S. President Donald Trump shake hands during a campaign rally at Desert Diamond Arena on August 23, 2024 in Glendale, Arizona. Kennedy announced today that he was suspending his presidential campaign and supporting........

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