An alarming weather pattern is emerging. NOAA doesn’t know what to make of it yet

Heading into hurricane season, the agency says there’s still ‘substantial uncertainty about El Niño’s peak strength.’

[Photo: Mark Ralston/AFP via Getty Images]

El Niño is “likely to emerge soon,” with an 82% chance of it forming between May and July, and with a 96% chance it will continue from December into February 2027, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center.

The report, out Thursday, says while there is “still substantial uncertainty about El Niño’s peak strength” this........

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