The federal government’s decision to impose a petroleum levy of Rs 77 per litre on furnace oil (HFO), supplemented by a carbon tax of Rs 2.50 per litre, adds Rs 84,742 per ton in taxes to a fuel that otherwise costs approximately Rs 130,000 per ton. For export-oriented textile manufacturers, many of whom depend on HFO-based captive power for uninterrupted production, this will severely undermine their viability.

Under current market conditions, HFO-fired captive generation costs roughly Rs 33 per kWh, broadly equivalent to prevailing grid tariffs. Once the new levies are applied, generation costs surge to nearly Rs 51 per kWh, by over 50%. At this level, HFO-based power generation ceases to be economically viable, forcing textile firms into an untenable dilemma: continue operating at a severe loss or switch to an unreliable and, ultimately, more expensive grid supply.

For most mills, switching to grid-supplied power is not a viable alternative, as HFO-fired captive generation is principally used by units lacking reliable DISCO connections. Across Pakistan—and particularly in urban industrial hubs such as Lahore and Karachi—DISCOs routinely decline new industrial hookups due to constrained infrastructure and transformer capacity.

Where connections are technically offered, firms are presented with demand notices running into the tens of billions of rupees merely to secure a feeder line, with no guarantee of timely service: lead times for actual energization often extend to two or three years.

Under these conditions, pursuing a formal grid connection is neither........

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