menu_open Columnists
We use cookies to provide some features and experiences in QOSHE

More information  .  Close

A 100bps cut in policy rate on the cards?

14 0
29.07.2025

Following a recent visit to the Federal Reserve to inspect a renovation project, the tension between US President Donald Trump and Fed Chairman Jerome Powell was apparent.

The future of Powell’s position remains uncertain, as both appeared tense during their media presentation. When questioned about the Federal Reserve’s renovation exceeding its budget, Trump remarked he would dismiss an employee over it but saw no need to fire the Fed Chairman.

Despite a friction between them, the US dollar strengthened, buoyed by the market’s confidence following Trump’s assurance that Powell would not be let go. Meanwhile, June’s durable goods data was disappointing due to weak orders for transportation equipment; it still exceeded expectations, contributing to Dollar’s recovery. This weakness primarily stems from tariff pressures rather than other factors.

Last week, both existing and new home sales figures fell short of market predictions, placing builders, buyers, and sellers under pressure in a housing market that plays a crucial role in the US economic cycle. Additionally, flash manufacturing PMI readings were weaker than anticipated. The Beige Book indicated that most Federal Reserve districts are experiencing modest growth in lending.

Although there were some slight downward revisions, the overall situation remains tense due to persistent inflationary pressures and tariffs. The Federal Reserve’s meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday is expected to maintain its current policy stance. It appears that the Fed may be gradually........

© Business Recorder