Although both Israel and Iran agreed to the ceasefire announced by Donald Trump, which was brokered by Qatar, ahead of it, Israel issued six alerts warning of separate waves of Iranian missiles overnight and June 24 morning local time. Commenting on the ceasefire, Retired Air Force Col. Cedric Leighton told CNN, “If an Israel-Iran ceasefire comes into full effect it could hold for at least a short period of time, as Israel believes it has achieved its goals and Iran needs time to regroup”.

Col. Cedric Leighton said “Israel had achieved a lot of its goals, including hitting Iranian nuclear facilities and decimating its air defense system.

Meanwhile, Iran is looking for a window to “regroup and figure out what they’re going to do next”.

According to CNN, Iran’s state-controlled Tasnim news agency reported one line on its Telegram channel saying a ceasefire had entered its “enforcement stage”. Meanwhile, Israeli news outlets Channel 12 and Ynet also ran headlines saying the ceasefire had come into effect.

Earlier, on the evening of June 21, 2025, US President Donald Trump authorized strikes on Iranian nuclear sites, marking a dramatic escalation in the already fragile relationship between the two nations. At that situation, there was anticipation of Tehran’s “next move” as Iran, as part of retaliatory actions, had launched a missile attack on Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar though that caused no injuries. Following this, a nervous Donald Trump tried to dismiss it as a “weak response” to US attacks while urging Iran and Israel to make peace.

Iran’s leadership, led by Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, is acutely aware of the risks of directly challenging the United States. The clerical regime understands that America’s military capabilities could inflict catastrophic damage on the country and even threaten the regime’s survival. For Khamenei, preserving the regime is always the top priority.

To gauge Iran’s potential response, one can look to how it reacted to the assassination of Qassem Soleimani, the head of the elite Quds Force, in 2020. While Iran vowed significant retaliation, its response was limited to launching missiles at two US bases in Iraq, causing minimal damage and no fatalities. After this symbolic gesture, Iran declared the matter closed.

Meanwhile, prior to America’s airstrikes targeting several nuclear facilities in Iran, caused a new

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