A staggering 40% of Americans believe a civil war is “somewhat” or “very” likely within the next decade, according to a new poll released by YouGov on June 18. The results of the survey, which polled 3,375 US adults, have reignited debate over the nation’s fraying social fabric, deepening political divisions, and an increasingly volatile public discourse. The findings suggest that Americans, regardless of background or political leanings, are growing more anxious about the country’s trajectory-and the potential for widespread civil unrest.

The YouGov poll reveals striking gender and political gaps in the perception of looming civil conflict. Women were more likely than men to fear the outbreak of civil war, with 45% expressing concern compared to just over a third of male respondents. Meanwhile, political affiliation continues to heavily influence perceptions: 48% of Democrats, 39% of independents, and 32% of Republicans believe civil war is at least “somewhat” likely.

Racial disparities in responses were also evident. Black Americans were the most likely to view a civil war as “very likely,” with 18% expressing this view, compared to 10% of white respondents. Hispanics were the least likely to dismiss the possibility altogether, with only 11% saying it was “not likely at all.” These numbers reflect a complex interplay between lived experience, historical memory, and political engagement.

The growing fear of internal conflict isn’t occurring in a vacuum. It follows weeks of escalating unrest that have rattled cities across the country. Earlier in June, widespread protests and riots erupted in California after a controversial immigration crackdown. Federal........

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