On Tuesday, Republican Senator Thom Tillis became one of only three GOP senators to cast a vote against President Donald Trump's budget bill. Ultimately, his vote was mostly symbolic--the measure passed on a 51-50 vote, with Vice President JD Vance casting the tiebreaker.

But the vote has already had consequences for the two-term lawmaker from North Carolina. On Sunday, he made the announcement that he would not be running for re-election in 2026. His decision came a day after he took to the Senate floor to declare that he couldn't support the bill because "it would result in tens of billions of dollars in lost funding for North Carolina, including our hospitals and rural communities."

Tillis' retirement not only raises the stakes for what was already expected to be one of the most closely contested 2026 races for the U.S. Senate, where Republicans hold a 53-47 advantage; it could also topple political dominoes for congressional and state legislative races in a state almost evenly divided between Democratic, Republican and unaffiliated voters.

If Tillis had sought re-election, "he probably could not campaign at Republican events without a legitimate........

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