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Pakistan has strived to improve its relations with the United States for years now. However, unfolding events in the regional and global strategic environment continuously spoil its diplomatic initiatives to cajole the Americans. The result is that currently, Pakistan is neither an ally nor an adversary of the US. Yet, Deputy National Security Adviser Jon Finer’s fictitious conclusion on December 19 that Pakistan is an emerging threat to the United States has surprised Pakistanis and rung strategic alarm bells in Islamabad. Undeniably, the statement influences the Pakistan and US bilateral relationship in 2025.

The China-US strategic competition, India-US threshold alliance and Netanyahu’s endeavor to establish a new Middle Eastern order with the connivance of US military muscle may have diminished Pakistan’s importance but not its relevance in the Americans’ international geopolitical calculations. These factors will shape the incoming Trump administration’s approach toward Pakistan in 2025. This means that the future relationship between Pakistan and the US will be dependent of the Trump administration’s engagement with China, India’s pursuit of its strategic autonomy, and the situation in the Middle East.

Pakistan was an ally in containing the former Soviet Union, defeating Russian forces and the latter transnational terrorist syndicate in Afghanistan. Therefore at the time, generous diplomatic, economic, and military aid was provided to........

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