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Niven Winchester

Niven Winchester

The Conversation

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Who will win the 2025 Women’s Rugby World Cup? We ran 10,000 simulations to rank the contenders

England are clear favourites to win the Women’s Rugby World Cup, which kicks off on August 23. But that oval ball can bounce in unexpected...

19.08.2025 10

The Conversation

Niven Winchester

New Trump tariffs: early modelling shows most economies lose – the US more than many

The latest round of tariffs will reduce GDP in most countries. As the effects flow through, the global economy may be in for a rocky ride.

04.08.2025 70

The Conversation

Niven Winchester

US-China trade war leaves NZ worse off, but still well placed to weather the storm – new modelling

China and the US both lose from a tariff war, and global economic activity will decline. But New Zealand’s existing free trade agreements should...

15.04.2025 10

The Conversation

Niven Winchester

Americans take brunt of Trump tariffs: Modelling

10.04.2025 20

The New Daily

Niven Winchester

New modelling reveals full impact of Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs – with the US hit hardest

Modelling of how Trump’s tariffs will hit global trade suggests the US will be the biggest loser – while a few nations may emerge as surprising...

03.04.2025 50

The Conversation

Niven Winchester

NZ households will be slightly worse off if Trump triggers a trade war – new modelling

All national economies suffer in a trade war. But despite household incomes taking a small hit, New Zealand would likely weather the impacts of...

10.02.2025 10

The Conversation

Niven Winchester

New modelling shows how Trump’s trade tariffs will hurt – and help – New Zealand

Few can doubt Donald Trump’s trade intentions once he takes office next January. In a recent social media post, the US president-elect promised: On...

03.12.2024 30

The Conversation

Niven Winchester