menu_open Columnists
Niven Winchester

Niven Winchester

The Conversation

We use cookies to provide some features and experiences in QOSHE

More information  .  Close

New Trump tariffs: early modelling shows most economies lose – the US more than many

New Trump tariffs: early modelling shows most economies lose – the US more than many

The latest round of tariffs will reduce GDP in most countries. As the effects flow through, the global economy may be in for a rocky ride.

04.08.2025 70

The Conversation

Niven Winchester

US-China trade war leaves NZ worse off, but still well placed to weather the storm – new modelling

China and the US both lose from a tariff war, and global economic activity will decline. But New Zealand’s existing free trade agreements should...

15.04.2025 10

The Conversation

Niven Winchester

Americans take brunt of Trump tariffs: Modelling

10.04.2025 20

The New Daily

Niven Winchester

New modelling reveals full impact of Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs – with the US hit hardest

Modelling of how Trump’s tariffs will hit global trade suggests the US will be the biggest loser – while a few nations may emerge as surprising...

03.04.2025 50

The Conversation

Niven Winchester

NZ households will be slightly worse off if Trump triggers a trade war – new modelling

All national economies suffer in a trade war. But despite household incomes taking a small hit, New Zealand would likely weather the impacts of...

10.02.2025 10

The Conversation

Niven Winchester

New modelling shows how Trump’s trade tariffs will hurt – and help – New Zealand

Few can doubt Donald Trump’s trade intentions once he takes office next January. In a recent social media post, the US president-elect promised: On...

03.12.2024 30

The Conversation

Niven Winchester