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Europe needs its own channels to the Kremlin

The ability to discreetly communicate with the adversary is more important than ever

21.10.2025 10

Alexander Gabuev

Putin is back in the driver’s seat on Ukraine

Moscow is seeking victory, not compromise, through diplomacy — and Trump is playing along

Alexander Gabuev

Europe’s approach to China and Russia isn’t working

Economic threats won’t help EU leaders shift Beijing’s stance — the right incentives might

24.07.2025 10

Alexander Gabuev

Xi and Putin are the greatest beneficiaries of Trump’s chaos

Russia and China are unlikely to remain bystanders as America sorts out its own mess

07.05.2025 20

Alexander Gabuev

There are no shortcuts to manage the Russia challenge

Despite Trump’s diplomatic cavalry charge, the Kremlin will continue to view the west as an enemy

22.02.2025 20

Alexander Gabuev

Mistrust between Russia and the west will outlast the Trump era

The fight against the US and its allies has become the organising principle of Putin’s long reign

10.11.2024 10

Alexander Gabuev

Putin thinks he can still win a war of attrition in Ukraine

Fighting will drag on while the prospects for diplomacy remain slim

Alexander Gabuev