Donald Trump has spent his first month as president governing with chaos, shock, and awe. He threatened, walked back, and imposed some tariffs; let Elon Musk take a hatchet to the federal bureaucracy; purged agencies and departments of opposition; and captured media attention with executive orders and expansionist daydreams.

And through it all, his overall popularity has remained steady — historically high for him even if historically unpopular compared to other modern presidents, according to Gallup polling. He still holds a positive net approval rating — something he only achieved for two weeks at the start of his first term, per FiveThirtyEight’s averages. That measure has hovered at around 50 percent approval, a higher share of support than he ever had eight years ago. The margin has shrunk a bit since he took office, but it still sits at 3.3 points.

His personal favorability, another measure of how Americans feel about the president, is similarly more positive than it’s been since he left office in 2021. Roughly even shares of Americans think of him positively or negatively.

These factors naturally prompt a few follow-up questions, ones that are particularly vexing for Trump’s critics. Why hasn’t all this chaos done anything to dent his popularity? What’s helping him? And how long can that last?

We now have a decent amount of polling and data to answer those questions. Much of what they show is not exactly rocket science: Almost half of Americans voted for Trump, and they like what they see so far. The data also includes a poll shared exclusively with Vox that suggests some serious warning signs for the president as his honeymoon tapers off. But the bottom line is that people mostly approve of what Trump is doing, and he is keeping high levels of support from Republicans and a good share of independents and moderates.

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