Are tariffs breaking up Trump’s working-class coalition?
Nearly two weeks since his “Liberation Day” tariff announcements, President Donald Trump has roundly lost the majority of the American public’s support. According to polling, his chaotic trade policy has hammered trust in his economic stewardship, his economic approval ratings are tanking, and his overall popularity continues to slide.
The public’s perception that Trump has been unable to lower prices or slow down inflation is at the heart of that negative trajectory — and expectations that tariffs will only raise prices and hurt the national economy may only be accelerating that decline.
We’re getting more information on what effect this unpopularity is having on the country’s political landscape. Is it also dragging down his party’s standing with the multiracial coalition of voters they won over in 2024? And is that discontent causing those voters, particularly young voters and voters of color, to desert him?
We now have some more data to help us discern the answer. Trump’s economic approval and overall ratings have fallen: They’ve slid by 7 points since early March and by 6 points since early February, respectively.
But the Republican Party has now mostly erased an important Democratic advantage: When Quinnipiac University asked voters recently which party cares more for “the needs and problems of people like you,” Republicans and Democrats were effectively tied.
That’s a major break from history. For most of the last 20 years, Democrats have led on this question by double digits.
What does this have to do with tariffs? And is this closed gap the result of something Trump — and Republicans — are doing right? Or is it something Democrats are messing up?
The data paints a nuanced picture. While there are warning signs for Trump that tariffs might worsen his party’s standing with the public in general, there are also hints of resilient trust despite the chaos. Many still see Trump and the GOP as being the party better fitted to advocate for the working class. There’s also encouraging news........
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