We have hard these words from US President Trump multiple times in the last two months telling the Iranian people to continue their struggle because “help is on the way.”  However, truth be told, US military buildup in the Arabian Sea and the Mediterranean notwithstanding, the US will not significantly attack Iran. The promise that help is on the way was and remains….effectively but not surprisingly meaningless.

The fact, supported by experience, is that Trump simply does not want to take the chance that US troops will be returned to their families in body bags. He knows that if the military suffers fatalities, his pledge not to bring America into any wars will have been shown to be worthless thereby possibly sufficiently damaging to actually decimate the support of his MAGA base.

For those who point to the US attack on Iran last June and the capture of Maduro in Venezuela in January as examples of his willingness to order the military to combat, a closer look at both those situations indicates that the risk was either zero or close to that.

In........

© The Times of Israel (Blogs)