It seems pretty obvious by now that US President Trump will not attack Iran militarily, something I have been saying ever since his Department of Defense directed a naval strike force to assemble in waters close to Iran and positioned a US destroyer in the Gulf of Eilat as well.

The destroyer departed here at 9:10 PM last night, after floating idly there for three days. As for the “naval armada” as the President called it off of Iran’s coast, when questioned yesterday as to what the fleet is doing there at this time, his response was ,“Well, they have to float somewhere, so they may as well float there.”  Doesn’t sound like much of an attack plan at all, does it?

The reason he will not attack Iran is that if he were to do so, he would be putting the lives of US armed forces personnel at risk. While he has renamed the Department of Defense the Department of War, he really does not want to go to war.

The simple fact is that Trump knows he can pretty much get away with anything he chooses, given the absence of significant guardrails to keep him in check.  Yet, he also knows that his MAGA base, which is already shaky after the unprofessional way in which the ICE agents in the US have been acting, will totally disintegrate if American troops begin to return home in body bags. After all, he ran on a platform that posited no involvement in foreign wars, so the last thing he wants to do is cause the deaths........

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