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The Fragile Gamble Behind Trump’s Gaza Agreement

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The latest developments surrounding the Gaza cease-fire deal, first reported by Axios, have once again placed the fragility of Middle Eastern diplomacy under intense scrutiny. The report detailed renewed clashes between militants in Gaza and Israeli forces, threatening to unravel the U.S.-brokered agreement announced just weeks earlier. That accord, aimed at halting hostilities, securing hostage releases, and paving the way for Gaza’s reconstruction, had been introduced as a landmark diplomatic breakthrough by the Trump administration. Yet, the fact that violence has already tested its limits underscores how precarious the situation remains, even as Washington and Tel Aviv seek to portray the deal as a foundation for long-term stability.

According to available details, the escalation began when fighters in Gaza launched an anti-tank missile at Israeli forces near Rafah. Israel responded with a wave of airstrikes that killed several Palestinians and briefly shut the main border crossings for humanitarian aid. American officials acknowledged they had been aware of growing tensions for days and are now monitoring whether the truce can withstand its first serious challenge. The U.S. administration has indicated that it will take a more direct role in enforcing the deal over the next month, treating this period as decisive for its credibility. For President Trump, whose team helped broker the accord, the outcome represents both a political test and an opportunity to showcase American leverage after years of diplomatic disengagement.

For those tracing the conflict’s trajectory since October 2023, the current fragility was predictable. That month, the large-scale assault by Hamas inside Israel triggered one of the deadliest wars in the region’s modern history. Israel’s military campaign devastated Gaza’s infrastructure, displaced millions, and left deep political........

© The Times of Israel (Blogs)