India is once again staring at the prospect of a reduced wheat harvest as above-average temperatures threaten the winter-sown crop. With March expected to be unseasonably warm, the country’s wheat farmers ~ particularly in Punjab, Haryana, Uttar Pradesh, and Madhya Pradesh ~ find themselves vulnerable to yet another weather-induced setback. The looming crisis highlights a troubling trend: climate variability is becoming a persistent disruptor in India’s food production, making it imperative to rethink agricultural strategies. The wheat crop, now at a critical grain-filling stage, is highly sensitive to temperature fluctuations. A premature rise in temperatures can shrink grain size, reducing both yield and quality. This was evident in 2022 when an unexpected heatwave forced India to halt wheat exports, exacerbating global supply concerns.

If this year’s weather pattern follows a similar trajectory, the government may have no choice but to reconsider its import policies, despite existing duties aimed at........

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