Trump slipping with Black voters after 2024 gains
President Trump is seeing signs that his approval is slipping with Black voters after notable gains with the demographic in last year’s election.
Recent polling suggests African American voters, already more disapproving of Trump than other demographic groups, have been souring on the president. Decision Desk HQ aggregates find more than70 percent disapprove of his job performance, while around a quarter approve, putting him in one of the weakest positions with the group since returning to the White House.
Although Black voters overwhelmingly backed former Vice President Kamala Harris in November, Trump made significant inroads for a Republican, winning about 15 percent, according to a Pew Research Center study released last month — double the percentage he took in 2020. Republicans touted the development as a sign of their expanding coalition, but the latest numbers could signal risks for Trump and the GOP heading into the midterms and beyond.
“We've seen his overall approval rating go down. And that's got to come from somewhere. The African American vote is his newest vote, and that's probably going to be the first to go,” said Scott Tranter, the director of data science for DDHQ.
Trump’s overall approval rating sits underwater at a net score of negative 7 points, according to the latest averages, after enjoying above-water scores in the weeks after taking office. He hit a disapproval high in April, recovered slightly in May and early June, then dipped in July.
Among African Americans, Trump’s at a net rating of roughly negative 47 points in the DDHQ aggregate. Since mid-June, his disapproval has climbed from around 63 percent to roughly 72 percent — up nearly 20 points from his first couple of weeks back in office.
Although losing some ground is to be expected, given Trump’s overall score, “the African American movement, it's measurable, it's significant,” Tranter said. “He's about the same in where he is with Hispanics as he was........
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