Over the last decade, the U.S. has emerged as an energy superpower, not only in terms of production but also as a dominant exporter of natural gas and refined petroleum products. This transformation has redefined the U.S. trade balance in energy, turning a long-standing deficit into a robust surplus.

Nowhere is this shift more consequential than in the U.S.-Mexico energy relationship.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration estimates that natural gas exports to Mexico reached 199.2 billion cubic feet in January. That number is stunning when we consider that in January of 1990, the U.S. exported less than 1 billion cubic feet to Mexico, and by January 2012 was still only exporting 23.4 billion.

Today, Mexico imports more than 70 percent of its natural gas from the U.S., and a significant share of its gasoline, diesel and jet fuel as well, valued at $33.63 billion in 2024. These imports are not a luxury — they are essential for Mexico’s industrial growth, transportation system and power generation.

For Mexico, reliable access to competitively priced U.S. energy is essential to sustaining economic growth, enabling industrial competitiveness and stabilizing the electric grid. At the same time, for the U.S., Mexico has become an indispensable customer, so much so that any downturn in Mexican demand would ripple through U.S. refineries, gas producers and the infrastructure companies that have built........

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