Democrats still have the edge heading into the Midterms

Midterms are just a few months away, and the political environment is increasingly breaking in Democrats’ favor. 

Historical precedent already suggested midterms would be challenging for Republicans, as is typical for the party in power. However, declining approval for President Trump, rising voter frustration with the direction of the country, and early signs of Democratic energy in special and off-year elections — a fact we’ve previously noted  — have created real momentum for Democrats. Now there is the realistic possibility that both the House and Senate are in play. 

The biggest driver is straightforward: Trump has become a political liability. Americans have grown increasingly dissatisfied with his presidency, particularly amid growing discontent over the war in Iran and its impact on energy costs.

Indeed, the RealClearPolitics’ aggregator shows just 41 percent of Americans approve of President Trump’s job thus far, while 57 percent disapprove. Individual polls paint an even bleaker picture for Trump. A recent CNN survey shows that 38 percent of voters give Trump a passing mark on foreign affairs, while 62 percent do not. RealClear’s generic congressional ballot test tracker also shows Democrats with a 6-point lead, 48 percent to 42 percent. 

These numbers do not guarantee a Democratic wave, but they do show a clear deterioration in the Republican political standing. Likewise, several general election races are beginning to shift in the Democrats’ favor, particularly in the Senate.  

In Maine, Emerson polling shows Democrat Graham Platner leading incumbent Sen. Susan Collins (R) by 7 points. In North Carolina,........

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