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California Is Running Out of Students—Why Fewer Births and Families Leaving Spell Trouble for the State

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12.08.2026

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Home – California Politics & News – California Is Running Out of Students—Why Fewer Births and Families Leaving Spell Trouble for the State

California Is Running Out of Students—Why Fewer Births and Families Leaving Spell Trouble for the State

Between falling birth rates, net out-migration, and the aftermath of COVID-19, California is running out of students.

According to a recent Public Policy Institute of California report, K-12 enrollment statewide has dropped 8% since 2015 and is expected to continue declining over the next decade.

Julien Lafortune, senior fellow at the Public Policy Institute of California, told the Daily Signal that the decline has been substantial.

“A decade ago, [California had] 6.2 million students. Now, this past year is just under 5.7 million students. That’s almost half a million fewer students in public K-12.”

Lafortune described the demographic shift as “almost like a cascade,” with each successive group of children entering California schools smaller than the one before it.

For California teachers, the enrollment decline is more than just a statistic.

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