JD FOSTER: Senate Republicans Could Pull Off The Unthinkable In Midterms
South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott is nothing if not an optimist. As Senate Republican Campaign Committee lead, Scott hopes to score two seats net in the coming mid-terms. He calls it his “stretch goal”.
How much of a stretch? Think gold medal gymnast Simon Biles prepping before a competition, legs wide, chin to the mat. Biles can do it. Can Scott? (RELATED: JD FOSTER: How Republicans Can Break History And Hold On To House)
Conventional wisdom says mid-term elections are tough on the president’s party. Absent a wave or war, the president’s party typically loses 9 seats in the House, but circumstances suggest Republicans might still keep their majority with luck.
The same basis shows Republicans face a range of outcomes between losing two and gaining two seats, net. Scott’s stretch looks plausible. In fact, the historical average is a push — neither net gaining nor losing a seat.
Consider the macro political environment. Democrats collectively are doing yeoman’s work exercising every politician’s right to act........
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