Tehran ‘s approach to war with Israel and the US

In view of many in Tehran, the West is trying to fight Iran to fulfill its goals and objectives with the lowest cost and time. In contrast, Iran is ready for an attrition war and to expand the scope of war.

In fact, in the principles of 107 and 111 of the Iranian constitution, the specific mechanism for determining the successor of the leader and administration has been forecasting so that no vacuum is formed at the top of the rule of governance. The Islamic Republic of Iran is designed to survive. Iran is a multi-node system, and various entities and operational leaders exist.

In the view of many of the officials in Tehran, the political system of the country has plans for the most difficult scenarios, and its structural continuity is not dependent on the individuals, but also on the circuit of the law. Also, the integrity and intelligence of the government of the Islamic Republic of Iran has created a new chapter of contraption.

Today, the threats can be changed to opportunities in a situation where the country faces the war; crises can become an opportunity to redefine national solidarity and strengthen social capital.

The doctrine of “mosaic defense” of Iran is based on the main principle of the maximum assignment of powers to provincial governors, bases, and lower levels so that the troops can pursue combat operations autonomously and based on general guidelines. In this doctrine, the stability of Iranian forces in the geographical depth is better and helps to survive and maintain operational power in the long term.

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From the point of view of the spokesman of the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Esmaeil Baghaei, at the present, all the focus is on defending the nation. He said, “We’re under attack.” This is an unfair war imposed on our nation. Tehran does not want war, and what is happening today in the region is the result of American and Israeli aggression against Iran.

The status of defensive power in Iran has been improved, and effective measures have been taken to repair and strengthen the defensive capabilities of Iran. Iran’s power has also been reinforced.

Many in Tehran think that the initial estimates about the efficacy of a “hard blow” to force Iran to strategically retreat faced a computational error and the strong military response of Iran.

According to the spokesman of the IRGC, “Iran’s new initiatives and arms are on the way, and these weapons have not been used widely.” From this point of view, Tehran is ready for a long war to punish the aggressor.

The Iranians seem to think there is no point in a quick ceasefire, and they have to put Trump and Israel on the challenge. That means if the war becomes longer and more complicated, it can create a deterrent against aggression in the future.

The leaders of Iran are facing a systematic assassination of different levels of political, military, law enforcement, and security leadership; extensive destruction of government and service infrastructure; a focus on borders and separatist activities; and the killing of civilians by attackers.

Also, many in Iran believe that the main objective of the US -Israeli military operation against Iran is the decomposition of land; that means, the goal is the complete destruction of governance structures, the establishment of chaos, and the dividing of the country into small areas, not merely changing the regime or limiting its nuclear and missile power.

The United States and Israel are now focusing on activating peripheral and ethnic faults as an alternative option in the agenda, but Tehran will adopt a preemptive and preventive approach to any attempt to activate these capacities.

In this approach, targeted attacks on border outposts and minority regions (Kurdistan, Baluchistan), along with reports of some direct contacts between American officials and the leaders of separatist Kurdish groups, are the well-known parts of the decomposition strategy.

In parallel with the regional war, the price of energy carriers, including oil and gas, has been drastically increased as the Strait of Hormuz has been controlled. This worrying increase in the oil and gas price could directly affect European and American inflation. The US and Israel’s attack on Iran started on Saturday. But Monday oil came with a stunning blow to $80! Gas prices also soared.

Increasing energy prices directly affects inflation in many countries. Many believe that Iran and the United States, in addition to the negative political effects on the states of the Republican Party in the elections, military casualties, and damages to Todd’s systems, will affect the US economy with $1 trillion and $500 billion.

Iran’s decisive answer paralyzed the strategic ports of the Persian Gulf. The situation not only threatens the food security of the Persian Gulf states but also increases the cost of the marine transportation lines.

Strengthening national solidarity in Iran

While almost the state of China and Russia’s cooperation with Iran has been expanded, Iran has been able to stabilize its presence in regional organizations such as the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and international institutions such as BRICS.

In another dimension, according to a recent survey, 69.5 percent of Iranians believe that the Iranian people have the power to resist the war and American military strikes. 72% of Iranians disagree with stopping missile development to prevent a US military offensive.

While military operations are part of a long-term plan to undermine the national security, social cohesion, and strategic position of Iran in the region and the world. The most important future factor affecting the possibility of an Iran-US war is the national solidarity in Iran, which is easily strengthened. That means, with the spread of enemy threats, the degree of solidarity of the Iranians will improve.

In the view of many in Tehran, the West is trying to fight Iran to fulfill its goals and objectives with the lowest cost and time. In contrast, Iran is ready for an attrition war and to expand the scope of war.

But Iran, with a history of thousands of years of civilization, and having technical and human capacities for rapid reconstruction, can also pass this test.

Moreover, Tehran can design a new foreign policy and expand the approach of neighborhood policy from mere focus on western Asia to presence throughout the civilizational area and Eurasia.

Samyar Rostami, а political observer and senior researcher in international relations

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