TUCSON, Ariz. — A retired FBI hostage negotiator says he believes the person responsible for kidnapping Nancy Guthrie, the 84-year-old mother of "Today" show co-anchor Savannah Guthrie, is an inexperienced criminal rather than a hardened professional, pointing to a series of what he describes as rookie mistakes captured on the family's home security footage.

Speaking to the Daily Mail, retired FBI special agent Chip Massey said the suspect's behavior in doorbell camera footage from the night of Guthrie's disappearance suggested a lack of criminal expertise. Massey pointed to the way the masked individual, who has become known online as "porch guy," attempted to disguise his gait and height while approaching the home. "The way he tries to get lower to disguise his gait and height, how he tries to cover up the camera – that's not something an experienced criminal would do," Massey said.

Massey identified several additional details he said pointed toward an amateur perpetrator. He noted that the suspect's gun holster appeared to be positioned incorrectly, saying it was worn in a manner that would leave the weapon vulnerable to being grabbed by someone else. He also said the suspect's gloves appeared oversized, a detail he said would make it difficult to properly handle a firearm. Massey further pointed to the presence of blood found near the exit of Guthrie's home as evidence that the abduction did not go as planned. "The fact blood was on the exit tells me there was a struggle inside," he said. Taken together, Massey concluded the pattern of errors, along with the........

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