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Russia’s silent buildup in Armenia could shake peace and politics in South Caucasus [COMMENTARY]

20 1
30.07.2025

As the region gets closer to peace, Russia is reverting to a familiar strategy: deploying troops to exert its influence.

Russia's increasing military presence in Armenia has stirred considerable speculation in the region. According to Armenian media reports, the Russian 102nd military base in Gyumri has seen a notable influx of military equipment and ammunition in recent weeks. Cargo planes carrying supplies are reportedly landing on a near-daily basis. While Moscow has yet to clarify the purpose of these shipments, multiple theories have emerged — ranging from routine resupply to deeper strategic maneuvering.

What lies behind this growing military reinforcement? Could this be part of a broader plan to reassert influence in the South Caucasus or even a prelude to shaping Armenia’s domestic political landscape ahead of next year’s parliamentary elections? And how might this affect the already fragile peace process between Armenia and Azerbaijan?

To explore these pressing questions, Azernews spoke to two prominent experts:

Heydar Mirza, military expert:

“Such information has indeed been circulating recently. At first, it came mostly from Ukrainian intelligence, which is normal —........

© AzerNews